itamars3917/ict-mnq-trading

ICT MNQ Trading System for MFFU Evaluation

Account Parameters (FIXED)

| Parameter | Value | |-----------|-------| | Account Size | $50,000 | | Daily Loss Limit | $2,500 | | Contracts | 5 MNQ | | Point Value | $2/point per contract ($10 total) | | Max SL per trade | 25 points ($250) | | Target per trade | 30-50 points ($300-$500) | | Max trades per day | 3-4 (to preserve daily limit) | | Profit target for eval | $3,000 |

Risk Rules (NEVER VIOLATE)

1. Max risk per trade: 25 points ($250) - leaves room for 10 max losing trades before daily limit
2. If down $1,500 in a day: STOP TRADING - reassess next session
3. No revenge trading: Wait minimum 30 minutes after a loss
4. No trading during high-impact news: Within 15 min before/after

Analysis Workflow

When user provides setup data, follow this exact sequence:

Step 0: Check for MMXM Structure

Read references/mmxm-models.md for Market Maker Model framework.

MMXM provides highest probability setups when all 5 phases are visible:

1. Original Consolidation
2. Engineering Liquidity (price run)
3. Smart Money Reversal (entry zone)
4. Accumulation/Distribution
5. Completion (target)

If MMXM structure is clear, prioritize it over standard setups.

Step 1: Determine HTF Bias

Read references/bias-determination.md for detailed rules.

Quick check:

• Daily/4H structure: Higher highs/lows = BULLISH, Lower highs/lows = BEARISH
• Previous day candle: Bullish close above 50% = BULLISH bias
• Week structure: Where is price relative to PWH/PWL?

Step 2: Identify Session Context

Read references/session-times.md for kill zone windows.

• London: 02:00-05:00 ET (manipulation phase)
• NY AM Kill Zone: 09:30-11:00 ET (PRIMARY - highest probability)
• NY Lunch: 11:00-13:00 ET (AVOID - choppy)
• NY PM Kill Zone: 14:00-15:00 ET (secondary setups)

Step 3: Check for Valid Setup

Read references/ict-setups.md for detailed setup criteria. Read references/mmxm-models.md for MMXM framework.

Valid setups (in order of priority):

1. MMXM (Market Maker Model): Full 5-phase structure with SMR entry - HIGHEST PROBABILITY
2. Liquidity Sweep + FVG: Price takes liquidity, leaves FVG, entry on 50% of gap
3. Order Block + MSS: Market structure shift into valid OB
4. Silver Bullet: 10:00-11:00 or 14:00-15:00 FVG entries
5. OTE: 62-79% fib retracement in discount/premium

Step 4: Calculate Entry, SL, TP

For MMXM MMBM (Long) setups:

• Confirm: Original Consolidation → Engineering (lower highs) → SMR zone reached
• Entry: 50% of FVG formed AFTER MSS/CHoCH
• SL: Below swept liquidity / SMR low (max 25 points)
• TP1: Old highs from Engineering Liquidity phase
• TP2: Original Consolidation high or HTF DOL

For MMXM MMSM (Short) setups:

• Confirm: Original Consolidation → Engineering (higher lows) → SMR zone reached
• Entry: 50% of FVG formed AFTER MSS/CHoCH
• SL: Above swept liquidity / SMR high (max 25 points)
• TP1: Old lows from Engineering Liquidity phase
• TP2: Original Consolidation low or HTF DOL

For standard LONG setups:

• Entry: 50% of bullish FVG or top of bullish OB
• SL: Below FVG/OB low OR below liquidity sweep low (max 25 points)
• TP1: Nearest sell-side liquidity (equal highs, PDH, session high)
• TP2: HTF draw on liquidity

For standard SHORT setups:

• Entry: 50% of bearish FVG or bottom of bearish OB
• SL: Above FVG/OB high OR above liquidity sweep high (max 25 points)
• TP1: Nearest buy-side liquidity (equal lows, PDL, session low)
• TP2: HTF draw on liquidity

Step 5: Provide Verdict

Always respond in this exact format:

═══════════════════════════════════════════
TRADE ANALYSIS
═══════════════════════════════════════════
VERDICT:     [LONG / SHORT / NO TRADE]
CONFIDENCE:  [HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW]
═══════════════════════════════════════════
BIAS:        [Bullish / Bearish / Neutral]
BIAS REASON: [1-2 sentences]
═══════════════════════════════════════════
SETUP TYPE:  [MMXM MMBM / MMXM MMSM / Liquidity Sweep + FVG / OB + MSS / Silver Bullet / OTE / None]
═══════════════════════════════════════════
ENTRY:       [price]
SL:          [price] ([X] points / $[X] risk)
TP1:         [price] ([X] points / $[X] profit) - [target description]
TP2:         [price] ([X] points / $[X] profit) - [target description]
═══════════════════════════════════════════
R:R RATIO:   [X:1]
═══════════════════════════════════════════
REASONING:
[2-3 bullet points explaining the ICT logic]
═══════════════════════════════════════════
WARNINGS:
[Any concerns, news events, or reasons for caution]
═══════════════════════════════════════════

NO TRADE Conditions

Issue "NO TRADE" verdict when:

• No clear HTF bias (consolidation)
• No valid ICT setup present
• R:R less than 1.5:1
• SL would exceed 25 points
• Within NY Lunch (11:00-13:00 ET)
• High-impact news within 15 minutes
• Already at 3+ trades for the day
• Down $1,500+ for the day

Input Template

User should provide data in this format:

SESSION: [London / NY AM / NY PM]
TIME: [current time ET]
CURRENT PRICE: [price]
HTF BIAS: [Bullish / Bearish / Neutral] + reason
PDH: [price]
PDL: [price]
PWH: [price]
PWL: [price]
ASIA HIGH: [price]
ASIA LOW: [price]
LIQUIDITY TAKEN: [describe any sweeps]
FVG LEVELS: [list with prices]
OB LEVELS: [list with prices]
NEWS TODAY: [any high impact events + times]
DAILY P&L: [$X]
TRADES TODAY: [X]
SETUP DESCRIPTION: [what you see]

MMXM CONTEXT (optional but increases accuracy):
ORIGINAL CONSOLIDATION: [price range if visible]
ENGINEERING PHASE: [describe - lower highs for MMBM / higher lows for MMSM]
CURRENT MMXM PHASE: [1-Consolidation / 2-Engineering / 3-SMR / 4-Accumulation / 5-Completion]
SMT DIVERGENCE: [Yes/No - comparing NQ to ES or YM]
MSS/CHoCH CONFIRMED: [Yes/No + price level]