hexbee/claim-ledger
skills/claim-ledger/SKILL.md
将研究与写作中的主张转成“Claim-Evidence-Boundary”可核验账本。用于在产出前强制补齐证据、反证、边界与可发布性判断，防止无依据断言并提升复用性。
data-ai
Updated Apr 16, 2026
$ install --global
skillsauthnpx skillsauth add hexbee/hello-skills claim-ledgerInstall this skill globally with one command. Works with Claude Code, Cursor, and Windsurf.
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Last scanned: Apr 16, 2026, 8:04 AM11.3s5 files scanned
SKILL.md
- name:
- claim-ledger
- description:
- 将研究与写作中的主张转成“Claim-Evidence-Boundary”可核验账本。用于在产出前强制补齐证据、反证、边界与可发布性判断，防止无依据断言并提升复用性。
Claim Ledger
何时使用
当用户出现以下意图时使用本技能：
- “先做研究框架/证据链，再写内容”
- “判断某观点是否可发、是否站得住”
- “把资料堆整理成可发布结论”
- “让 AI 先出 Ledger 再出线程/长文”
核心定义
Claim Ledger 把每条观点拆成三部分：
Claim：要让读者相信的主张Evidence：支持该主张的证据Boundary：成立条件与失效条件
目标：让每个结论都可追溯、可反驳、可复核。
最小字段（必填 9 项）
每条 Claim 一行，必须包含：
Claim ID：C01/C02/...Claim：一句可检验陈述Type：事实/解释/预测/建议Confidence：高/中/低Evidence：E01,E02...（至少 2 条）Source Grade：S/A/B/⚠️Counter：至少 1 条反证/反例；无则写“未找到，风险=高”Boundary：成立条件 + 失效条件Publishability：可发/需改写/不可发
Evidence Card 规范
每条证据必须是可复核卡片，而非泛化描述。字段：
Source：标题 + 作者/机构 + 日期Link：URL 或文档定位Quote/Data：关键原话或数字Supports：支持 Claim 的哪一部分Reliability：S/A/B/⚠️+ 评级理由Freshness：是/否（是否过时）
经验规则：
- 事实型 Claim：至少 1 条
S或A - 解释型 Claim：至少 2 条跨来源交叉
- 预测/建议型 Claim：必须有历史对比或失败条件，否则降为低置信度
六步流程（从资料堆到可发布）
- 先写 5 条候选 Claim（先定义要证明什么）
- 给每条 Claim 标注类型（事实/解释/预测/建议）
- 每条补 2-4 条证据（优先一手源）
- 强制补反证/反例（没有也要显式记录）
- 写边界（成立条件与失效条件）
- 打置信度和可发布性（必要时降调措辞）
质量闸门（必须执行）
以下任一不满足，则禁止进入内容生成：
- 任一 Claim 证据少于 2 条
- 任一 Claim 缺少 Counter
- 任一 Claim 缺少 Boundary
预测/建议Claim 无失败条件
处理规则：
- 证据不足：降级为“猜测（低置信度）”
- 语气要求：不得使用确定性措辞
与内容生产的映射
线程映射（推荐）
3 个 Claim × 4 条推 = 12 条线程- 每组 4 条顺序：
- Claim
- Evidence
- Boundary
- Action
长文映射（推荐）
每个 Claim 作为一节：
- 结论 -> 证据 -> 反方风险 -> 边界 -> 小结/清单
默认输出格式
Claim Ledger表（至少 3 条 Claim）Evidence Cards（与 Ledger 的 E# 对齐）Gate Check（逐条列出通过/失败项）- 若 Gate 全通过，才生成目标内容（线程/长文/脚本）
执行指令模板
先输出 Claim Ledger（至少 3 条 Claim，每条 >=2 条证据 + >=1 条反证 + 边界）。
未满足质量闸门前，不允许生成正文。
若证据不足，必须降级为“猜测（低置信度）”，并避免确定性语气。
参考模板与示例
需要直接套用表格和卡片时，读取：
references/templates.md
需要自动校验 Ledger 质量闸门时，运行：
scripts/validate_ledger.py --file <ledger.md>
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