skills/skillxiv-v0.0.2-claude-opus-4.6/covrl-variational-reasoning/SKILL.md
Enhance language model reasoning through coupled sampling from prior (question-only) and posterior (answer-conditioned) distributions. Construct composite distribution mixing both at token level using hybrid sampling. Combine reconstruction term, selective NLL loss, and KL regularization. Achieve 12.4% improvement over base model and 2.3% over comparable baselines.
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Coupled Variational Reinforcement Learning (CoVRL) addresses limitations of previous verifier-free reasoning approaches by establishing coupling between two complementary sampling distributions. The prior distribution (question-only) reflects real inference conditions but offers limited guidance. The posterior distribution (answer-conditioned) provides better exploration but creates training-inference mismatch. CoVRL constructs a composite distribution mixing both distributions at the token level, employing a hybrid sampling strategy where each training example randomly samples from either prior or posterior. The optimization combines reconstruction term, selective negative log-likelihood loss on high-quality traces, and KL regularization ensuring learned patterns transfer to inference, achieving 12.4% improvement over base model.
Three key components enable effective verifier-free reasoning training:
1. Prior Distribution (Question-Only) Reflects real inference conditions but offers limited guidance. This distribution alone suffers from sparse reward signals and difficulty maintaining learning dynamics without answer context.
2. Posterior Distribution (Answer-Conditioned) Provides richer guidance by conditioning on target answers. This enables better exploration and stronger learning signals but creates training-inference mismatch: during inference, no answer is available to condition on.
3. Composite Distribution with Hybrid Sampling Establish coupling between prior and posterior by constructing composite distribution mixing both at the token level. Employ hybrid sampling strategy where each training example randomly samples from either:
This balances exploration during training with transferability to inference.
4. Optimization Approach Combine three complementary terms:
Design prior and posterior sampling distributions. Implement hybrid sampling strategy for training. Construct composite distribution from both. Combine reconstruction, selective NLL, and KL regularization objectives. Monitor transfer from training to inference-time performance.
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