skills/entry-signals/SKILL.md
Entry signal patterns with historical success rates. Use when deciding whether to open a position.
npx skillsauth add 0xhubed/agent-trading-arena entry-signalsInstall this skill globally with one command. Works with Claude Code, Cursor, and Windsurf.
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Last updated: 2026-01-17 16:36 UTC Active patterns: 30 Total samples: 5095 Confidence threshold: 60%
These entry signals have been learned from competition data:
| Signal | Success Rate | Samples | Confidence | Seen | |--------|-------------|---------|------------|------| | Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (... | 88% | 164 | 85% | 1x | | Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (... | 85% | 157 | 75% | 1x | | Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (... | 85% | 164 | 80% | 1x | | Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (... | 85% | 164 | 85% | 1x | | SMA crossover + bullish MACD + neut... | 82% | 184 | 80% | 1x | | SMA crossover + bullish MACD + neut... | 82% | 184 | 85% | 1x | | SMA crossover + bullish MACD + neut... | 82% | 184 | 85% | 1x | | Scaling into existing winning posit... | 80% | 157 | 75% | 1x | | Scaling into existing winning posit... | 78% | 164 | 80% | 1x | | Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (... | 75% | 89 | 95% | 1x | | Multi-timeframe bearish alignment f... | 65% | 103 | 95% | 1x | | Relative strength divergence (one a... | 45% | 79 | 60% | 1x | | SMA and MACD bearish signals for sh... | 35% | 50 | 60% | 1x | | High funding rate alone as bullish ... | 35% | 248 | 75% | 1x | | High funding rate alone as bullish ... | 35% | 248 | 80% | 1x | | High funding rate alone as bullish ... | 35% | 247 | 85% | 1x | | High funding rate alone as bullish ... | 35% | 247 | 85% | 1x | | Multi-timeframe bearish alignment f... | 35% | 201 | 95% | 1x | | Positive funding rate interpreted a... | 30% | 208 | 60% | 1x | | Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (... | 30% | 160 | 95% | 1x | | RSI overbought + MACD bearish as sh... | 30% | 355 | 95% | 1x | | Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (... | 25% | 88 | 95% | 1x | | Negative funding rate as long oppor... | 25% | 180 | 95% | 1x | | Multi-timeframe bearish alignment f... | 25% | 173 | 95% | 1x | | Relative strength divergence (one a... | 20% | 72 | 70% | 1x | | Positive momentum on small timefram... | 20% | 76 | 95% | 1x | | Contrarian 'bounce back' reasoning ... | 20% | 180 | 95% | 1x | | Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (... | 18% | 294 | 74% | 2x | | SMA and MACD bearish signals for sh... | 18% | 50 | 70% | 1x | | Positive funding rate interpreted a... | 15% | 225 | 70% | 1x |
Success rate: 88% Total samples: 164 Confidence: 85% Times confirmed: 1 First seen: 2026-01-14 Description: Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (15m, 1h, 4h) WITH explicit risk validation and trade validation checks - skill_aware_oss uses this consistently with strong results (+$1236.81)
Success rate: 85% Total samples: 157 Confidence: 75% Times confirmed: 1 First seen: 2026-01-14 Description: Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (15m, 1h, 4h) combined with explicit risk validation produces profits in trending markets. skill_aware_oss: 'All timeframes bullish, technical indicators show bullish bias, no performance issues'.
Success rate: 85% Total samples: 164 Confidence: 80% Times confirmed: 1 First seen: 2026-01-14 Description: Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (15m, 1h, 4h) WITH explicit risk validation produces profitable entries. skill_aware_oss: 'Multi-timeframe analysis shows strong bullish alignment and high momentum... validation passes'. Success requires both trend confirmation AND risk checks.
Success rate: 85% Total samples: 164 Confidence: 85% Times confirmed: 1 First seen: 2026-01-14 Description: Multi-timeframe bullish alignment (15m, 1h, 4h) WITH explicit risk validation and trade validation passed - produces strong returns in trending markets
Success rate: 82% Total samples: 184 Confidence: 80% Times confirmed: 1 First seen: 2026-01-14 Description: SMA crossover + bullish MACD + neutral Bollinger as entry confirmation. agentic_gptoss: 'Technical indicators (SMA crossover, bullish MACD, neutral Bollinger) support a long entry'. Combined with risk calculator validation.
| Confidence | Interpretation | |------------|----------------| | 90%+ | High confidence - strong historical support | | 70-90% | Moderate confidence - use with other signals | | 60-70% | Low confidence - consider as one input | | <60% | Experimental - needs more data |
This skill is automatically generated and updated by the Observer Agent.
testing
Core trading insights learned from Agent Arena competition. Use when making any trading decision to apply institutional knowledge.
tools
Risk management rules learned from competition outcomes. Use when sizing positions or setting stop-losses.
testing
Market regime detection and regime-specific trading strategies. Use when analyzing market conditions to select appropriate strategy.
testing
Create, edit, improve, or audit AgentSkills. Use when creating a new skill from scratch or when asked to improve, review, audit, tidy up, or clean up an existing skill or SKILL.md file. Also use when editing or restructuring a skill directory (moving files to references/ or scripts/, removing stale content, validating against the AgentSkills spec). Triggers on phrases like "create a skill", "author a skill", "tidy up a skill", "improve this skill", "review the skill", "clean up the skill", "audit the skill".